Online gaming opponents appear to be lining up for one last Hail Mary.
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On Thursday, a congressional subcommittee will hold a hearing on sports betting in the wake of the Supreme Court lifting the 1992 ban in mid-May. Despite the progress on bringing sports betting out of the black market, the hearing will feature testimony from a group whose sole aim is keep online casino gambling illegal. It’s hard to imagine the group would have a seat at the table were it not for its powerful backer, who is the 21st richest person on the planet.
The House Subcommittee on Crime, Terrorism, Homeland Security, and Investigations will meet at 10 a.m. Thursday on Capitol Hill. The hearing will be live streamed here.
According to the House Judiciary Committee’s website, among those set to testify in front of federal lawmakers is the controversial Coalition to Stop Online Gambling, the Sheldon Adelson-backed lobbying group that is seeking to prevent the regulation of a slew of online casino games, including traditional poker. Former Nebraska Attorney General Jon Bruning, a Republican, will represent the group at the hearing.
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Banning (or at least slowing the spread of) online casino regulation has been one of Adelson’s top political priorities over the past six years or so. Adelson, founder of Las Vegas Sands Corp., once famously wrote that he would “spend whatever it takes” to stop casino games from going online. Adelson, owner of the world’s largest casino developer, claims online gaming would hurt society, while his critics point out that the activity is already available via offshore betting sites. They also charge that Adelson is motivated by protecting his casino empire from rivals who have moved online, such as MGM Resorts International and Caesars Entertainment Corp.
“Three states have already legalized internet gambling and many more are actively considering following suit,” says the Coalition’s website. “Given the potential for money laundering, terrorism financing, fraud and other criminal activity, participation by minors, exploitation of individuals with a gaming addiction, and the impact on jobs and economic activity, Congress must act now to protect American families from predatory internet gambling.”
The Coalition’s website is actually out-dated. There have been four states with legalized online gambling for nearly a year now. Pennsylvania joined Nevada, New Jersey and Delaware last fall.
The emerging U.S. sports betting market, which is currently limited to just a handful of states, could grow to more than $15 billion annually in terms of revenue if all states have the activity, according to an analysis earlier this year from research group Eilers & Krejcik Gaming. Americans are said to bet about $150 billion per year on sports, according to research from the American Gaming Association. Historically, about 97 percent of that handle has been wagered through illicit channels, according to the casino industry.
The regulated sports betting industry will not reach those heights without bets being taken over the internet, especially over mobile devices. That’s already happening in Nevada, where Adelson has casinos, as well as in New Jersey. It’s unclear where Adelson’s Coalition stands on widespread internet sports betting, but that will likely come out during Thursday’s hearing.
The Coalition has spearheaded efforts in previous years to “restore” the 1961 Wire Act in order to try and prevent states from legalizing online casino gambling. Discussions on legislation to do just that included a potential carve-out for state lotteries that offer gambling over the web. Those talks greatly weakened Adelson’s attempt at establishing a moral high ground when it comes to internet betting. The Coalition could call for a similar exemption for sports betting. The casino industry has gone all-in on sports wagering, so it’s implausible that online sports betting would be prohibited. The professional sports leagues, long resistant to sports betting, are now on-board with the activity, as long as there is federal oversight. That’s the purpose of Thursday’s hearing.
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It’s a heavyweight super-fight between the casino industry and the leagues over regulated sports betting. Mystic lake amphitheater seating chart. Thursday’s hearing could be the first of many in the coming months.
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In addition to Adelson’s Coalition, the NFL, the AGA and the Nevada Gaming Control Board have signed on to testify. The NFL has historically been hostile to gambling, but now that the floodgates are open and the Raiders are moving to Sin City, the league has done a 180. The NFL wants greater power over the sports betting industry, however, which is a spot of contention among the stakeholders. The casino industry actually commissioned research to show the NFL that it will benefit to the tune of $2.3 billion from sports betting even without new federal mandates. The NFL, which had an estimated $14 billion in revenue last year, wants more under Roger Goodell’s quest to get the league to $25 billion in revenue annually by 2027.
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Online poker’s “Big 3” sites, 888poker, partypoker and PokerStars all recently released the trading figures for the last financial year and they make for interesting reading.
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The Stars Group-owned PokerStars’ online poker revenue remained stable, GVC Holdings’ partypoker exploded and grew by 42 percent, while 888 Holdings’ 888poker saw its online poker revenues collapse by 37 percent year-on-year.
Business is Booming for partypoker
In a time when online poker is growing at a slower rate than other online gambling verticals, partypoker is seeing healthy gains in poker.
“partypoker has been in a bit of a David-Goliath battle with PokerStars” admitted Kenneth Alexander, the GVC Holdings CEO, during the company’s full year presentation, during which time he revealed online poker revenues grew by 42 percent during 2018.
And the trend continues, as Alexander said partypoker revenues had grown 38 percent in the first few months of 2019.
“partypoker has been in a bit of a David-Goliath battle with PokerStars.”
The site has already overtaken 888poker as the second-largest online poker room and Alexander claims partypoker is “biting at their [PokerStars] ankles”. Under the guidance of Tom Waters and the input of U.K.'s Dusk Till Dawn casino owner Rob Yong, partypoker has been aggressive in its quest to regain market share in the real money online poker sector.
Among changes implemented by the team in recent years include offering up to 50 percent rakeback to high volume players, launching the partypoker LIVE tour, and running huge events and festivals such as the $20 million guaranteed MILLIONS Online.
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GVC’s financial figures did not break down its online poker revenues, but Poker Industry Pro estimates online poker revenue topped €137 million in 2018, up from €98 million reported in 2017. That makes 2018's revenue the highest since 2012 when €175 million was reported.
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Slow and Steady Wins the Race for PokerStars
The Stars Group reported its international online poker revenue grew to $886.6 million in 2018, an increase of 1.1 percent, although this growth was only 0.4 percent on a constant currency basis. While the growth of online poker was small, the revenues generated from PokerStars are still more than five-and-a-half times more than partypoker reported, if the estimated figures from Poker Industry Pro are accurate.
PokerStars ended 2018 on a decline, with Q4 revenue sliding to $211 million, down 10 percent compared to the same period of 2017. The Stars Group claims currency fluctuations worked against their numbers in this quarter, but even on a constant currency basis, 2018 Q4 online poker revenue decreased by 4.4 percent.
Poker made up 61.6 percent of The Stars Group’s annual revenue in 2018, showing online poker is still a major revenue stream for the company. Revenues from casino and sports betting have increased almost four-fold since 2015 when casino revenue was $136 million (12.7 percent of the Group’s revenue) to more than $507 million (35.3 percent of the Group’s revenue).
Rafi Ashkenazi, The Stars Group’s CEO, said that the increase in casino and sports betting revenues has come at a cost to its poker revenues as its players are now spending some of their bankrolls in the online casino.
“As expected, our success in casino has had an inevitable cannibalization impact on poker, with our customers spending more of their gambling wallet on our online casino now.”
That said, online poker remains a major acquisition channel for The Stars Group as it allows the company to cross-sell sports betting and online casino games.
Massive Decline in 888poker Revenues
The financial report for the third major online poker brand was less optimistic. 888 Holdings revealed revenues from its online poker business, 888poker, declined by 37 percent in 2018 compared to 2017. In 2017, 888poker revenues stood at $77.9 million but plummeted to $49 million during the last financial year.
The collapse in revenues meant the second lowest revenues ever generated by online poker - with only the $38.4 million from 2010 marking less revenue. According to Poker Industry Pro, 2018 marks only the second time online poker has not been the second-largest revenue stream for 888 Holdings.
Bingo overtook online poker in 2010 and in 2018, sports betting knocked online poker from the second spot. Only 10 percent of total gaming revenue for 888 stemmed from online poker last year.
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Not too promising for 888 shareholders is the fact online poker revenues for the entire second half of 2018 were less than every quarter from 2014 Q1 to 2017 Q2.
888poker has attempted to stop the rot by running several promotions, including rake-free tournaments. The poker software is also in the process of a complete overhaul which the site hopes will attract more customers and allow them to keep hold of the ones who are still loyal to the brand.
The Stars Group is a majority shareholder in iBus Media
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